The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kitchener Rangers 42.5%
Draw 22%
Flint Firebirds 35.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.5%
22%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
22.6%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Kitchener Rangers - Flint Firebirds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Hriczov M. (G)
74. Bennett T. (G)
73. Andreev R.
22. Anderson D. (A)
9. Anstis A.
44. Beauchesne C.
11. Arquette C.
2. Bogas N.
89. Bilecki A. (A)
27. Bonnyman J.
17. Cameron W.
54. Bray J.
13. Ellis H.
88. Cunningham R.
91. Forrest A.
3. Faria N.
55. Kut T.
65. Fellinger R. (A)
93. LaBrash J.
14. Graziano L.
37. Lam T. (A)
8. Klaucans M.
15. Massimi L.
10. Lombardi J. (C)
98. Puglisi C.
4. Morgan B.
44. Roberson R.
86. Murata C.
77. Robinson I.
79. Nutting L.
86. Romano L. (A)
7. Paul J.
23. Santala L.
11. Smith B.
21. Schneider K.
81. Tessier X.
2. Toporowski D.
9. Williams C.
Substitutes
39. Schaubel J. (G)
55. Courville M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
05:24, 1 - 0, Arquette C. (G), Cameron W. (A), Forrest A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:32, 2 - 0, Bilecki A. (G), Santala L. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:25, 3 - 0, Arquette C. (G), Ellis H. (A), Schneider K. (A2)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 2.
In recent outings, Kitchener has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Flint is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Flint may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kitchener has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:55 (averaging 3.5:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kitchener against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 44:29 goals (averaging 4.4:2.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Flint Firebirds - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.