Match Info
Club FriendlyDate: 26 August 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ilves |
|
Kärpät |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.80 |
4.40 |
3.10 |
|
 |
1.94 |
4.05 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.9 |
4.03 |
3.01 |
|
 |
1.89 |
4.27 |
3.08 |
|
 |
1.86 |
3.95 |
2.95 |
|
 |
1.84 |
4.05 |
3.25 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↑ (1.78) |
4.13 ↑ (4.13) |
3.1 ↓ (3.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ilves 48.6% | Draw 22% | Kärpät 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Ilves - Kärpät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
65. Rifalk C. (G)
| 32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
|
3. Utunen T.
| 21. Matinmikko A. (A)
|
77. Loof L.
| 26. Tichacek J.
|
29. Looke J.
| 93. Kantner M.
|
9. Jasek L.
| 33. Hirvonen R.
|
92. Henman L. (A)
| 73. Erholtz E. (C)
|
| Line 2 |
|---|
21. Kuukasjarvi R.
| 43. Loponen K.
|
28. Nyberg J.
| 2. Rissanen R.
|
67. Haatanen A.
| 11. Tornqvist H.
|
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
| 31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
|
46. Torok M.
| 82. Pakkila E.
|
| Line 3 |
|---|
43. Latvala O.
| 9. Soini K.
|
26. Niskanen A.
| 25. Paaso A.
|
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
| 62. Nilsson W.
|
19. Lantta J.
| 16. Okany A.
|
15. Kos O.
| 27. Ratinen S.
|
| Line 4 |
|---|
27. Strand A.
| 59. Hermonen J.
|
57. Parikka J.
| 61. Salmela T. (A)
|
71. Korhonen B.
| 80. Korpimaki M.
|
11. Borg E. (A)
| 19. Tikka T.
|
22. Engberg T.
| 18. Antti-Roiko A.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
40. Armalis M. (G)
| 30. Joensuu P. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:09, 1 - 0, Jarvinen J. (G), Parikka J. (A), Torok M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:06, 2 - 0, Jarvinen J. (G), Torok M. (A), Strand A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 49:53. (average 2.5:2.7).Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 2.3:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 50.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Kärpät - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.36%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 07.02.26 | Kärpät - Ilves | 1:2 | | 30.12.25 | Ilves - Kärpät | 3:2 OT | | 03.10.25 | Ilves - Kärpät | 2:7 | | 12.09.25 | Kärpät - Ilves | 6:2 | | 31.01.25 | Kärpät - Ilves | 3:2 OT | | 08.01.25 | Ilves - Kärpät | 3:4 OT | | 07.12.24 | Kärpät - Ilves | 2:4 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;