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Current Win Probability
Kärpät 62.4%
Draw 19.1%
Vaasan Sport 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
20%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
19.9%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
The chances for Vaasan Sport have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Kärpät - Vaasan Sport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Rubin N. (G)
53. Harkonen M. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.
8. Viljanen V.
26. Tichacek J.
55. Koivisto M. (C)
73. Erholtz E. (C)
22. Walther I.
33. Hirvonen R.
28. Sundstrom J. (A)
82. Pakkila E.
17. Diaco G.
Line 2
9. Soini K.
16. Johnsson T.
61. Salmela T. (A)
62. Akerstrom S.
93. Kantner M.
80. Miketinac K.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
9. Grainger L.
27. Ratinen S.
71. Nieminen V.
Line 3
43. Loponen K.
6. Kangas K.
2. Rissanen R.
26. Burger E.
62. Nilsson W.
3. Bertrand C.
11. Tornqvist H.
12. Straka A.
18. Antti-Roiko A.
24. Levanen E.
Line 4
25. Paaso A.
77. Valtanen J.
59. Hermonen J.
63. Heikkinen L. (A)
19. Tikka T.
18. Timonen S.
16. Okany A.
10. Pietila B.
Substitutes
80. Korpimaki M.
45. Andrey T.
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
31. Ortio J. (G)
Coaches
. Karjalainen P.
. Mikkola L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
09:51, Hirvonen R. (2 min),
11:17, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
13:19, 1 - 0, Pakkila E. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
15:56, Kantner M. (2 min),
17:03, 1 - 1, Levanen E. (G), Grainger L. (A), Akerstrom S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:33, 2 - 1, Koivistoinen E. (G), Pakkila E. (A),
05:42, Grainger L. (2 min),
09:39, Grainger L. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:32, 3 - 1, Nilsson W. (G), Tornqvist H. (A),
06:13, 3 - 2, Walther I. (G), Koivisto M. (A), Diaco G. (A2)
13:32, Tornqvist H. (2 min),
16:20, Nieminen V. (2 min),
19:29, Miketinac K. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Kärpät (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vaasa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vaasa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vaasa has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Kärpät is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät has recorded 14 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:34 (averaging 3.1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 36:14 goals (averaging 3.3:1.3 per game).
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Rubin N. (G) 
Harkonen M. (G) 
Tichacek J. 
Diaco G. 
Bertrand C. 
Andrey T. 
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