The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pelicans 27.1%
Draw 23.4%
Ilves 49.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.2%
23.7%
50.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
25.9%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4%)
Pelicans - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Bartosak P. (G)
40. Armalis M. (G)
4. Johannesen J.
23. Johansson S.
47. Jordan M. (A)
57. Parikka J.
37. Dudas A.
29. Looke J.
7. Stapley B.
9. Jasek L.
10. Karvinen R.
17. Ratinen S.
Line 2
44. Kousa M. (A)
53. Pelli A.
61. Jurgens C. (C)
21. Kucerik R.
74. Teutari E.
46. Torok M.
23. Forsberg C.
12. Mantykivi M.
82. Kettunen A.
92. Henman L.
Line 3
87. Nieminen D.
3. Utunen T. (A)
83. Luhanka E.
28. Nyberg J.
28. Zetterberg L.
48. Klingberg C. (A)
95. Batna O.
11. Borg E.
96. Kumpula J.
22. Engberg T.
Line 4
77. Kayhko O.
43. Latvala O.
39. Kolehmainen E.
89. Quenneville P.
29. Vaananen M.
86. Nattinen J. (C)
20. Hirvonen K.
20. Bjorkqvist K.
Substitutes
1. Emond Z. (G)
39. Pavlat D. (G)
Coaches
. Kapanen S.
. Niemela T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
01:42, Klingberg C. (2 min),
03:13, Forsberg C. (2 min),
17:04, Karvinen R. (2 min),
18:28, Pelli A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:00, 1 - 0, Zetterberg L. (G), Nieminen D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:20, 1 - 1, Looke J. (G), Jasek L. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
16:43, Kucerik R. (2 min),
17:17, 2 - 1, Stapley B. (G), Kousa M. (A), Bartosak P. (A2)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
Recent performances by Pelicans have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ilves is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Ilves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 43:63. (average 2.2:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 2.3:3.3).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Ilves
19
9
3
1
6
51:39
34
12
Pelicans
16
7
1
1
7
40:35
24
Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 3.59 are the expected chance of winning is 26.24%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.