Match Info

KHL

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.85	2.45
	2.65	4.1	2.41	Watch
	2.45	4.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.45)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
37.1%

Draw
23.8%

Sibir Novosibirsk
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

23%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

22.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	21.4%	78.6%

Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sibir: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sibir (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sibir Novosibirsk will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sibir (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Bocharov I. (G)	70. Domingue L. (G)
42. Syomin V. (A)	44. Lukin A.
27. Cotton A.	21. Alanov Y.
66. Mikhailov N.	55. Tkachyov V. (A)
13. Sawchuk R.	20. Wilson S.
92. Lawrence J.	90. Soshnikov N.
Line 2
81. Hollowell M.	73. Zhukov A.
8. Zemchyonok A. (A)	42. Kalinichenko R.
18. Kugryshev D. (C)	45. Pyanov V. (A)
10. Chivilyov A.	28. Pershakov A.
25. Romanov I.	71. Butuzov V.
Line 3
74. Zhukov K.	76. Akhiyarov T.
9. Antipin V.	27. Gordeev F.
71. Bashkirov D.	88. Kara V.
58. Obidin A.	17. Gogolev P.
72. Kuznetsov A.	92. Rasskazov K.
Line 4
64. Belousov M.	13. Belyakov Y.
23. Chervonenko V.	52. Shirokov S. (C)
21. Savchik I.	12. Nekolenko A.
84. Altybarmakyan A.	61. Yakovlev A.
Substitutes
1. Trushkov A. (G)	72. Bulavchuk O.
	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Bucaev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:15, 0 - 1, Wilson S. (G), Tkachyov V. (A), Soshnikov N. (A2)
09:57, 1 - 1, Sawchuk R. (G), Hollowell M. (A), Bocharov I. (A2)
12:03, Butuzov V. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:12, Syomin V. (2 min),
06:48, 1 - 2, Shirokov S. (G), Nekolenko A. (A), Yakovlev A. (A2)
09:30, 2 - 2, Chivilyov A. (G), Altybarmakyan A. (A), Chervonenko V. (A2)
09:57, Shirokov S. (2 min),
10:37, 3 - 2, Altybarmakyan A. (G), Mikhailov N. (A), Cotton A. (A2)
11:00, Kalinichenko R. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:00, 4 - 2, Romanov I. (G), Kugryshev D. (A), Hollowell M. (A2)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sibir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lada won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:45. (average 1.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.5%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
07.10.25	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Lada Togliatti - Admiral Vladivostok	1:2 OT ✺
02.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
30.09.25	Sochi - Lada Togliatti	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Lada Togliatti	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
05.10.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	1:0 penalties ✺
01.10.25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:2 ✺
29.09.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:3 ✺
27.09.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:4 ✺
24.09.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
08.03.25	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0 OT
13.02.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	4:1
11.02.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	4:1
09.10.24	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:3 OT
20.02.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	3:0
21.12.23	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1
19.12.23	Lada Togliatti - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 OT

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