Match Info

Liiga

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Mikkelin Jukurit		TPS

	1	X	2
	3	3.8	2.15
	2.95	3.82	2.21
	2.97	3.61	2.23
	3.12	3.69	2.14	Watch
	2.8	3.98	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.8)	3.79 ↓ (3.85)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
32.1%

Draw
24.9%

TPS
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

24.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

24.1%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)	32. Vali N. (G)
23. Smits A.	38. Landen A.
3. Arola J.	7. Lauridsen O. (A)
82. Ruuttu A. (A)	49. Wernblom L.
16. Ford C. (A)	21. Maatta J. (A)
76. Hamalainen S.	82. Pakkila E.
Line 2
53. Korkola N.	6. Rafkin R.
7. Worge Kreu W.	40. Lehtonen S.
54. Piitulainen J. (C)	98. Teissala L.
52. Hynninen T.	86. Yliniemi S.
17. Ahonen V.	22. Soderlund T.
Line 3
58. Johansson K.	5. Sjoholm V.
71. Romppanen N.	66. Reunanen T.
10. Olsen T.	10. Ylitalo N.
20. Addamo J.	9. Koivu A. (C)
34. Immonen S.	29. Heinonen S.
Line 4
19. Tiihonen L.	2. Tuhkala A.
63. Heikkinen L.	84. Pikkarainen K.
6. Remes O.	57. Munkki V.
93. Horvath B.	19. Savinainen V.
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)	1. Niittymaki A. (G)
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Soderholm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
01:45, Ylitalo N. (2 min),
04:42, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
04:42, Savinainen V. (2 min),
06:39, 1 - 0, Ahonen V. (G), Johansson K. (A), Ford C. (A2)
11:43, Addamo J. (2 min),
14:28, Buitenhuis E. ↓, Herpin M. ↑,
16:55, 2 - 0, Hamalainen S. (G), Worge Kreu W. (A), Ford C. (A2)
18:12, 3 - 0, Smits A. (G), Addamo J. (A), Ahonen V. (A2)
18:24, Wernblom L. (5 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
13:05, Johansson K. (2 min),
18:12, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:51. (average 2.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 3.4:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

TPS - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
22.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	Pelicans - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:1 ✺
10.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLLW
- TPS hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
22.10.25	TPS - Vaasan Sport	3:2 penalties ✺
18.10.25	TPS - Ilves	4:3 OT ✺
17.10.25	Ilves - TPS	4:3 OT ✺
11.10.25	JYP - TPS	5:4 ✺
10.10.25	KalPa - TPS	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
04.10.25	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3
03.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS	2:1 penalties
26.02.25	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3
21.12.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS	5:4
23.10.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS	2:4
20.09.24	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2
09.02.24	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3

Upcoming Matches