Match Info

Liiga

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Wemasto Areena (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2


	Pelicans		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	3.1
	2.06	3.95	3.18	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.2
	2.07	3.65	3.25	Watch
	2	3.6	2.9
	2.07	3.92	3.08	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)	3.73 ↑ (3.55)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans
45.3%

Draw
25%

Mikkelin Jukurit
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.7%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Pelicans - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pelicans (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Bartosak P. (G)	29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
47. Jordan M.	23. Smits A.
55. Falk H.	3. Arola J.
37. Dudas A.	10. Olsen T.
7. Stapley B.	20. Addamo J.
10. Karvinen R.	34. Immonen S.
Line 2
44. Kousa M.	19. Tiihonen L.
61. Jurgens C.	70. Saari E.
88. Vanderbeck A.	54. Piitulainen J.
82. Kettunen A.	52. Hynninen T.
91. Vilen E.	67. Haatanen A.
Line 3
4. Johannesen J.	53. Korkola N.
87. Nieminen D.	7. Worge Kreu W.
74. Teutari E.	82. Ruuttu A.
95. Batna O.	89. Tammela J.
96. Kumpula J.	76. Hamalainen S.
Line 4
83. Luhanka E.	18. Sandvik V.
27. Lind O.	6. Remes O.
29. Vaananen M.	17. Ahonen V.
20. Hirvonen K.
Substitutes
1. Emond Z. (G)	93. Horvath B.
	36. Ruusu M. (G)
Coaches
. Kapanen S.	. Virtanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:11, Hirvonen K. (2 min),
02:23, 0 - 1, Addamo J. (G), Tiihonen L. (A), Haatanen A. (A2)
07:39, Stapley B. (2 min),
12:10, Smits A. (2 min),
15:47, Saari E. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:55, 1 - 1, Batna O. (G), Luhanka E. (A), Kousa M. (A2)
12:17, Kumpula J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:05, Addamo J. (2 min),
14:20, Haatanen A. (2 min),
14:44, 2 - 1, Dudas A. (G), Kousa M. (A), Stapley B. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.

Pelicans is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jukurit is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jukurit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pelicans has had a series of away games.

Recently, Jukurit has had a series of home games.

Pelicans could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Pelicans will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:58. (average 2.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 2.1:3.2).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
12	Pelicans	10	5	0	1	4	24:23	16

Last Results with these Odds

Pelicans - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.49%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.2%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
28.01.26	Kärpät - Pelicans	2:3 OT ✺
24.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Pelicans	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	TPS - Pelicans	3:4 OT ✺
17.01.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Pelicans - KalPa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWL
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
27.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	2:3 OT ✺
22.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	6:2 ✺
17.01.26	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:2 ✺
16.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
30.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	5:3
18.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	3:2
17.10.25	Pelicans - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	4:0
Finnish SM-liiga
29.03.25	Pelicans - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3 OT
28.03.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	4:1
25.03.25	Pelicans - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:8

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