Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.8	6
	1.38	4.86	5.97
	1.38	5.3	6.15	Watch
	1.36	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)	4.99 ↑ (4.6)	6.13 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
66.8%

Draw
18.3%

Ryazan
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

19.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lada Togliatti's performance.

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Lada Togliatti - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 4.

Lada is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ryazan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lada have a series of guest games.

In this match Lada is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lada to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Lada won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
18.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	1:5 ✺
16.10.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Lada Togliatti	3:2 ✺
14.10.22	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti	3:4 penalties ✺
04.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- HC Ryazan
VHL
21.10.22	Zvezda Moscow - Ryazan	3:2 ✺
19.10.22	AKM - Ryazan	4:1 ✺
14.10.22	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 OT ✺
12.10.22	Ryazan - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
10.10.22	Ryazan - Ermak Angarsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.02.22	Lada Togliatti - Ryazan	5:2
09.09.21	Ryazan - Lada Togliatti	1:3
11.01.21	Ryazan - Lada Togliatti	2:3
16.10.20	Lada Togliatti - Ryazan	1:3
06.02.20	Lada Togliatti - Ryazan	2:1
17.09.19	Ryazan - Lada Togliatti	1:3
24.02.19	Ryazan - Lada Togliatti	5:3

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