Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday


	Gornyak-UGMK		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.8	1.85
	3.27	3.84	1.88
	3.25	4.25	1.88	Watch
	3.25	3.95	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.96 ↑ (3.8)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
28.3%

Draw
23.1%

Lada Togliatti
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

24.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

23%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Gornyak UGMK - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gornyak-UGMK won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gornyak-UGMK won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
16.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	1:2 ✺
14.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	7:3 ✺
07.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	6:2 ✺
05.10.22	Omskie Krylia - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
16.10.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Lada Togliatti	3:2 ✺
14.10.22	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti	3:4 penalties ✺
04.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Rostov	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.22	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	3:0
VHL
28.01.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	6:2
27.09.21	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties
02.02.21	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	3:2 penalties
20.09.20	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	1:6
29.09.19	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.19	Lada Togliatti - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3

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