Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	3.75
	1.76	3.7	3.82
	1.7	4.33	3.9	Watch
	1.73	3.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)	3.95 ↓ (4)	3.83 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
53%

Draw
23.1%

Dizel Penza
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

23.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lada Togliatti's performance.

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dizel Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lada Togliatti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizel Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lada Togliatti - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Lada won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 60-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 41-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
25.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Khimik	4:3 ✺
23.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Ryazan	4:2 ✺
18.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	1:5 ✺
16.10.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Lada Togliatti	3:2 ✺
14.10.22	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Dizel Penza
VHL
25.10.22	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	1:4 ✺
23.10.22	AKM - Dizel Penza	1:2 OT ✺
18.10.22	Dizel Penza - Omskie Krylia	6:0 ✺
16.10.22	Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
14.10.22	Dizel Penza - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.01.22	Lada Togliatti - Dizel Penza	4:3
02.10.21	Dizel Penza - Lada Togliatti	3:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.21	Dizel Penza - Lada Togliatti	1:2
30.07.21	Lada Togliatti - Dizel Penza	3:4
29.07.21	Lada Togliatti - Dizel Penza	3:1
VHL
11.12.20	Lada Togliatti - Dizel Penza	2:3 penalties
07.11.20	Dizel Penza - Lada Togliatti	4:2

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