The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niagara IceDogs 42%
Draw 22%
Guelph Storm 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
21%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
24.6%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niagara IceDogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guelph Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
72. Barnes B.
17. Babin P.
33. Chromiak J. (A)
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
12. Czata E. (C)
73. Gallacher L.
27. Dell'Elce S.
75. Haponenko M.
44. Doherty S.
91. Hopkins T. (A)
17. Edgar R.
19. Jenken N.
92. Galiyanov I.
93. McFadden W.
9. Hage A.
72. McKenzie H.
64. Hull C.
15. Miedema E.
6. Knauft J.
22. Pape M.
19. Monks J.
20. Serlin L.
21. Patterson R. (A)
81. Shybinskyi I.
93. Read N.
4. Singh R.
16. Reid H.
9. Snelgrove P.
3. Reisnecker B.
21. Spada G.
61. Simon Wang
96. Stevens C.
43. Smith R.
12. Topp R. (A)
49. Spencer L.
77. Wycisk J.
8. Tiller G. (A)
Substitutes
77. Robertson C. (G)
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:37, 0 - 1, Spada G. (G), McKenzie H. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:18, 1 - 1, Czata E. (G), Chromiak J. (A), Yermolenko V. (A2)
07:00, 1 - 2, Snelgrove P. (G), McFadden W. (A), Topp R. (A2)
11:55, 2 - 2, Edgar R. (G), Reid H. (A), Tiller G. (A2)
19:43, 2 - 3, McFadden W. (G), Gallacher L. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
09:05, 2 - 4, Wycisk J. (G), Stevens C. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
12:04, 3 - 4, Patterson R. (G), Chromiak J. (A), Edgar R. (A2)
15:58, 3 - 5, McFadden W. (G), Gallacher L. (A),
18:00, 3 - 6, Wycisk J. (G), Stevens C. (A), Shybinskyi I. (A2)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Niagara has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 74:78. (average 3.7:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:37. (average 4.1:3.7).
Watch
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Yermolenko V. (G) 
Jovanovski Z. (G) 
Barnes B. 
Chromiak J. (A) 
Haponenko M. 
Reisnecker B. 
Simon Wang 
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