The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Penguins 32.8%
Draw 21.9%
Edmonton Oilers 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
21.2%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
19.7%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.
Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edmonton Oilers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edmonton Oilers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.2%
37.5%
31.2%
Pittsburgh Penguins - Edmonton Oilers Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Edmonton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Pittsburgh (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Edmonton (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
74. Skinner S. (G)
35. Jarry T. (G)
65. Karlsson E.
2. Bouchard E.
28. Wotherspoon P.
14. Ekholm M.
17. Rust B. (A)
18. Hyman Z.
87. Crosby S. (C)
97. McDavid C. (C)
67. Rakell R.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)
Line 2
58. Letang K. (A)
75. Regula A.
5. Shea R.
25. Nurse D.
16. Brazeau J.
22. Savoie M.
81. Kindel B.
29. Draisaitl L. (A)
2. McGroarty R.
92. Podkolzin V.
Line 3
3. St.Ivany J.
49. Emberson T.
27. Kulak B.
24. Stastney S.
39. Mantha A.
13. Janmark M.
18. Novak T.
19. Henrique A.
13. Hayes K.
88. Mangiapane A.
Line 4
55. Acciari N.
23. Hutson Q.
43. Heinen D.
20. Lazar C.
19. Dewar C.
10. Frederic T.
Substitutes
37. Silovs A. (G)
30. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.
. Knoblauch K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
06:14, Ekholm M. (2 min),
09:12, Heinen D. (2 min),
10:20, Rust B. (2 min),
10:38, Kulak B. (2 min),
11:38, 0 - 1, Hyman Z. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)
11:52, 0 - 2, McDavid C. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
19:15, 1 - 2, Novak T. (G), Mantha A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:35, 1 - 3, Savoie M. (G), Regula A. (A), Janmark M. (A2)
05:30, Draisaitl L. (2 min),
06:24, 2 - 3, Karlsson E. (G), Crosby S. (A), Rakell R. (A2)
08:06, Brazeau J. (2 min),
09:36, 2 - 4, Bouchard E. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)
14:02, Nurse D. (2 min),
18:14, Regula A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:47, 2 - 5, Podkolzin V. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Ekholm M. (A2)
08:14, Emberson T. (2 min),
16:51, 3 - 5, Rust B. (G), Mantha A. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)
18:41, 3 - 6, McDavid C. (G), Hyman Z. (A),
19:46, 4 - 6, Heinen D. (G), Novak T. (A), Shea R. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1.
Pittsburgh has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Edmonton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
Edmonton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F.
(Leg Injury)
Jones C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lizotte B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Malkin E.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Edmonton: Clattenburg C.
(Eye injury)
Kapanen K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Philp N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Roslovic J.
(Injury)
Walman J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 53:66. (average 2.7:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 2.6:3.3).