Match Info

KHL

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.49	4.19	Watch
	1.61	4	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)	4.25 ↓ (4.49)	3.93 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
54.8%

Draw
21.7%

Severstal Cherepovets
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

21.6%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

23.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Severstal will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Nabokov I. (G)	1. Shostak K. (G)
21. Press R.	32. Gregoire T.
85. Maklyukov A. (C)	8. Kaldis Y.
14. Silantyev D.	88. Dumbadze D. (A)
8. Kantserov R. (A)	66. Podshivalov I. (A)
19. Tkachev V. (A)	18. Veryayev D.
Line 2
9. Orekhov V.	7. Burenov N.
74. Siryatsky A.	21. Kamalov N.
28. Tolchinsky S.	51. Kvochko I.
26. Barach D.	53. Aimurzin D.
29. Vovchenko D. (A)	99. Ilyin M.
Line 3
56. Khabarov M.	73. Zhukov A.
72. Minulin A.	2. Grudinin V.
84. Fyodorov M.	42. Tankov K.
22. Iskhakov R.	17. Abrosimov R. (C)
11. Mikhailis N.	90. Chefanov I.
Line 4
87. Palivko D.	77. Fomin M.
94. Korobkin Y.	81. Kazulayev D.
39. Kozlov A.	6. Ivantsov I.
96. Korotkov N.	12. Skorenov A.
Substitutes
20. Smolin A. (G)	85. Okunev I.
34. Sysoyev D.	30. Skotnikov V. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.	. Kozyrev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:39, 0 - 1, Veryayev D. (G), Podshivalov I. (A),
06:28, Barach D. (2 min),
09:40, 0 - 2, Kvochko I. (G), Aimurzin D. (A), Ilyin M. (A2)
11:31, Dumbadze D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:58, Nabokov I. (2 min),
08:25, 0 - 3, Ilyin M. (G),
08:25, Nabokov I. ↓, Smolin A. ↑,
10:03, Kantserov R. (2 min),
13:05, 1 - 3, Tolchinsky S. (G), Khabarov M. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:51, Kaldis Y. (2 min),
07:46, 2 - 3, Mikhailis N. (G), Khabarov M. (A), Iskhakov R. (A2)
09:02, 3 - 3, Kantserov R. (G), Maklyukov A. (A), Tkachev V. (A2)
12:49, Gregoire T. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:58, 3 - 4, Kaldis Y. (G),

Preview

Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 3.

Recent performances by Metallurg M have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Severstal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Metallurg M is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 57:57. (average 2.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 2.8:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 55.19%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 4.19 are the expected chance of winning is 23.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
22.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:3 OT ✺
20.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Amur Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT ✺
15.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	8:1 ✺
13.02.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
22.02.26	Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
20.02.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	5:2 ✺
18.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1 ✺
12.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
16.09.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:5
24.02.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets	4:1
16.09.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets	2:6
KHL
21.01.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2
23.09.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:4 penalties
31.01.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:1

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