Match Info

KHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	2.76	4.2	2.25
	2.55	4.28	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)	4.24 ↓ (4.28)	2.36 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
36.3%

Draw
22.8%

Barys Astana
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

22.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

23.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Sochi - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Barys will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochi: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sochi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
44. Shchetilin A. (G)	41. Scheel A. (G)
23. Machulin V.	44. Walsh R.
11. Volkov A. (A)	3. McCoshen I.
71. Ellis M.	88. Vecchione M.
24. Bikmullin R.	11. Morelli M.
9. Vengryzhanovsky D.	70. Simonov S.
Line 2
37. Malyshev A.	71. Daniyar Sam.
12. Lee C.	2. Massie J. (A)
34. Popov S.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
87. Khafizov T.	9. Thompson T.
13. Tyanulin A.	27. Galimov E.
Line 3
51. Sushko I.	24. Breus D.
88. Nikolayev I.	87. Beketayev A. (A)
41. Bitten W.	22. Panyukov K.
61. Beaudin J.	17. Omirbekov A.
97. Seroukh D. (A)	84. Savitsky K. (C)
Line 4
28. Ibragimov S.	58. Gaitamirov T.
25. Dedunov P. (C)	23. Mukhametov M.
15. Utkin D.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
55. Avramov F.	96. Asetov A.
Substitutes
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
72. Maximov R.
Coaches
. Mikhailov D.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:41, 1 - 0, Beaudin J. (G), Seroukh D. (A),
08:56, Galimov E. (2 min),
18:22, Galimov E. (5 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:24, Sushko I. (2 min),
16:58, 1 - 1, Panyukov K. (G), Thompson T. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:35, 1 - 2, Thompson T. (G),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.

Sochi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barys's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Barys has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:59. (average 2.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 3.3:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 38.05%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Barys Astana - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 39.28%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
15.11.25	Sochi - Shanghai Dragons	4:2 ✺
12.11.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	5:3 ✺
10.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - Sochi	5:2 ✺
06.11.25	Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets	4:5 OT ✺
04.11.25	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	0:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLL
- Barys Astana
KHL
15.11.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:4 ✺
09.11.25	Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:4 ✺
07.11.25	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT ✺
05.11.25	Barys Astana - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.11.24	Sochi - Barys Astana	3:6
26.09.24	Barys Astana - Sochi	1:0
23.12.23	Barys Astana - Sochi	3:2 OT
20.10.23	Sochi - Barys Astana	3:5
02.10.22	Barys Astana - Sochi	5:4 OT
09.09.22	Sochi - Barys Astana	6:3
09.12.21	Barys Astana - Sochi	5:2

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