The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TPS 40.6%
Draw 24.5%
Ilves 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
25.1%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
27.1%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TPS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
TPS - Ilves Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Tps (1.80) (votes: 89%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
TPS is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ilves has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
TPS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for TPS in today's match, at odds of 2.27.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, TPS has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:51 (averaging 2.3:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TPS against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 25:22 goals (averaging 2.5:2.2 per game).