The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport 39.4%
Draw 24.5%
Ässät 36.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.3%
21.8%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
22.4%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vaasan Sport's performance.
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ässät might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaasan Sport that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ässät could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Vaasan Sport - Ässät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 8th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 2.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Vaasa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vaasa has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:55 (averaging 2:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vaasa against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 22:23 goals (averaging 2.2:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Assat
19
9
1
2
7
44:47
31
15
Vaasan Sport
17
5
1
2
9
32:51
19
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Vaasan Sport: 0.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Vaasan Sport - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.26%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.