Match Info

Liiga

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Ilves		Pelicans

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.3	4.3
	1.65	4.34	4.59	Watch
	1.62	4.01	4.38
	1.66	4.08	4.6
	1.6	4	4
	1.67	4.33	4.28	Watch
	1.66	3.85	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	4.13 ↓ (4.17)	4.41 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
56.5%

Draw
22.5%

Pelicans
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

25.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ilves - Pelicans Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Armalis M. (G)	32. Bartosak P. (G)
23. Johansson S.	44. Kousa M.
57. Parikka J.	61. Jurgens C.
29. Looke J.	37. Dudas A.
9. Jasek L.	7. Stapley B.
20. Bjorkqvist K.	10. Karvinen R.
Line 2
53. Pelli A.	47. Jordan M.
28. Nyberg J.	55. Falk H.
46. Torok M.	88. Vanderbeck A.
92. Henman L.	23. Forsberg C.
17. Ratinen S.	72. Carlsson P.
Line 3
3. Utunen T. (A)	4. Johannesen J.
21. Kucerik R.	87. Nieminen D.
89. Quenneville P.	74. Teutari E.
11. Borg E.	96. Kumpula J.
22. Engberg T.	82. Kettunen A.
Line 4
43. Latvala O.	27. Lind O.
48. Klingberg C. (A)	29. Vaananen M.
86. Nattinen J. (C)	20. Hirvonen K.
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
Substitutes
39. Pavlat D. (G)	57. Chrons A.
	1. Emond Z. (G)
Coaches
. Niemela T.	. Kapanen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
00:12, Pelli A. (2 min),
12:33, Falk H. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
05:42, Falk H. (2 min),
19:35, (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:13, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Klingberg C. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
07:38, (2 min),
08:25, Lind O. (2 min),
08:50, 2 - 0, Johansson S. (G), Henman L. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
16:10, Vanderbeck A. (2 min),
19:38, 3 - 0, Torok M. (G), Bjorkqvist K. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.

Ilves is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pelicans is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.

Recently, Pelicans has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 61:48. (average 3.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ilves	12	8	1	0	3	36:24	26
12	Pelicans	10	5	0	1	4	24:23	16

Last Results with these Odds

Ilves - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.18%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
31.01.26	Ilves - KalPa	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	Ilves - Vaasan Sport	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	2:3 OT ✺
23.01.26	Ilves - Tappara	2:6 ✺
17.01.26	Ilves - Ässät	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
31.01.26	Pelicans - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Kärpät - Pelicans	2:3 OT ✺
24.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Pelicans	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	TPS - Pelicans	3:4 OT ✺
17.01.26	KooKoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
25.11.25	Ilves - Pelicans	3:0
19.09.25	Pelicans - Ilves	2:3 OT
11.03.25	Ilves - Pelicans	4:2
19.02.25	Pelicans - Ilves	2:1 penalties
27.09.24	Pelicans - Ilves	3:4
21.09.24	Ilves - Pelicans	6:3
09.02.24	Pelicans - Ilves	1:7

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