Match Info

EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Aviron Bayonnais		Benetton Treviso

	1	X	2
	3	21	1.4
	2.65	21	1.47
	2.85	25	1.43
	2.8	21	1.48
	2.8	21	1.44
	2.63	26	1.52
	2.75	21	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.57)	22.29 ↑ (20.33)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aviron Bayonnais
33%

Draw
4.1%

Benetton Treviso
62.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

4.5%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

4.5%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Aviron Bayonnais - Benetton Treviso Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bayonne will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Benetton will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Recent matches Bayonne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benetton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benetton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Benetton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bayonne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 32-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayonne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.12.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Aviron Bayonnais	39:7 ✺
French Top 14
03.12.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon	19:7 ✺
26.11.22	Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais	35:14 ✺
05.11.22	Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais	20:25 ✺
29.10.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse	26:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWW
- Benetton Treviso rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
09.12.22	Stade Français - Benetton Treviso	24:14 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.12.22	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	38:19 ✺
26.11.22	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	24:17 ✺
28.10.22	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	37:0 ✺
21.10.22	Benetton Treviso - Blue Bulls	22:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
17.12.16	Benetton Treviso - Aviron Bayonnais	21:17
09.12.16	Aviron Bayonnais - Benetton Treviso	15:28

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
31.10.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	✺
- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
31.10.26	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	✺

Aviron Bayonnais - Benetton Treviso