The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western Force 36.8%
Draw 4%
Hurricanes 59.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
3.6%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
3.8%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western Force's form might have worsened.
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hurricanes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Force, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hurricanes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Western Force - Hurricanes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:35
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pearce M.
1. Numia X.
2. Paenga-Amosa B.
2. Aumua A.
3. Robertson T.
3. Lomax T.
4. Williams J.
4. Delany C.
5. Swain D.
5. Walker-Leawere I.
6. De Crespigny N.
6. Shields B.
7. Tizzano C.
7. Kirifi D.
8. Ekuasi V.
8. Lakai P.
9. White N.
9. Roigard C.
10. Donaldson B.
10. Love R.
11. Kuenzle B.
11. Fineanganofo F.
12. Stewart H.
12. Umaga-Jensen P.
13. Tomkinson S.
13. Sullivan B.
14. Potter H.
14. Punivai N.
15. Grealy M.
15. Harkin C.
Substitutes
16. Dolly N.
16. Tuputupu R.
17. Moli A.
17. Mafile'o T.
18. Smith J.
18. Tosi P.
19. Prinsep R.
19. Gallagher Z.
20. Harris W.
20. Iose B.
21. Robertson H.
21. Enari E.
22. Burey M.
22. Higgins R.
23. Poolman G.
23. Proctor B.
Coaches
. Cron S.
. Laidlaw C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 5)
11', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
11', Harkin C. (Missed Conversion),
15', Kuenzle B. (Try),
16', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
32', Aumua A. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
38', Pearce M. ↓, Moli A. ↑,
39', Grealy M. (Try),
40', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 12)
41', Walker-Leawere I. ↓, Gallagher Z. ↑,
41', Umaga-Jensen P. ↓, Higgins R. ↑,
41', Ekuasi V. ↓, Prinsep R. ↑,
48', Harkin C. (Try),
49', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
53', Dolly N. ↓, Horton T. ↑,
54', Sullivan B. ↓, Proctor B. ↑,
57', Numia X. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
57', Lomax T. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
63', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
64', Harkin C. (Missed Conversion),
64', Shields B. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
64', White N. ↓, Robertson H. ↑,
64', Kuenzle B. ↓, Poolman G. ↑,
64', De Crespigny N. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
64', Robertson T. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
71', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
79', Donaldson B. (Penalty Goal),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
83', Donaldson B. (Missed Penalty),
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Western Force won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Hurricanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Hurricanes will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Western Force won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 136:293 (average 15.1:32.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Western Force won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 66:142 (average 13.2:28.4).
Argentina
Australia
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Pearce M. 
Numia X. 
Shields B. 
Laidlaw C. 
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