Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff Arms Park (Cardiff)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, URC


	Cardiff Rugby		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	3
	1.39	22	3.05
	1.56	20.07	2.59	Watch
	1.41	21	3.11
	1.58	21	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)	21.01 ↑ (20.07)	2.85 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Rugby
63.1%

Draw
4.4%

Edinburgh
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

4.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 19)
2nd Half (8 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1.

Edinburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cardiff could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 334:365. (average 16.7:18.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 173:149. (average 19.2:16.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
17.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Cardiff Rugby	17:24 ✺
11.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Connacht	14:8 ✺
04.10.25	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	23:20 ✺
27.09.25	Cardiff Rugby - Lions	33:20 ✺
16.05.25	Stormers - Cardiff Rugby	34:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
17.10.25	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	43:0 ✺
10.10.25	Munster - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28 ✺
31.05.25	Blue Bulls - Edinburgh	42:33 ✺
16.05.25	Edinburgh - Ulster	47:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
19.10.24	Edinburgh - Cardiff Rugby	27:8
27.04.24	Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh	7:24
30.10.22	Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh	17:25
08.01.22	Edinburgh - Cardiff Rugby	34:10
22.03.21	Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh	34:15
09.11.20	Edinburgh - Cardiff Rugby	18:0
28.02.20	Edinburgh - Cardiff Rugby	14:6

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
23.10.26	Cardiff Rugby - Sharks	✺
- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
23.10.26	Edinburgh - Lions	✺

Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide