Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 18Date: 15 May 2026, Friday ๐ Finished Location: Cardiff Arms Park (Cardiff) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 United Kingdom | 19:45 | BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, S4C Clic, S4C Digital |
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Cardiff Rugby |
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Stormers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.4 |
26 |
1.33 |
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3.7 |
24 |
1.29 |
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3.41 |
22.41 |
1.36 |
 Watch |
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3.4 |
23 |
1.3 |
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3.75 |
23 |
1.31 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.09) |
23.68 ↑
(20.25) |
1.32 ↓
(1.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cardiff Rugby
26.1% | Draw
3.9% | Stormers
70% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Rugby than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stormers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stormers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Cardiff Rugby - Stormers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:28 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 10)
- 2nd Half (5 - 6)
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games. In this match, Stormers is considered a favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 88:122. (average 22:30.5).Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 61:48. (average 30.5:24).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | Stormers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 133:94 | 16 |
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| 10 | Cardiff Rugby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 87:107 | 9 |
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Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now
Stormers: 16.41% Cardiff Rugby: 0.74%
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 16.05.25 | Stormers - Cardiff Rugby | 34:24 | | 24.11.23 | Cardiff Rugby - Stormers | 31:24 | | 22.10.22 | Cardiff Rugby - Stormers | 30:24 | | 20.03.22 | Stormers - Cardiff Rugby | 40:3 |
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