Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)


	Connacht		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.06	41	8.5
	1.05	34	8.5
	1.08	35	8.1
	1.07	40.3	9.32	Watch
	1.06	41	8
	1.04	46	13.6
	1.08	35	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↑ (1.05)	38.9 ↑ (38.85)	9.16 ↓ (10.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
87.5%

Draw
2.4%

Zebre
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.4%

2.4%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Connacht - Zebre Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duggan J.	1. Buonfiglio P.
2. Tierney-Martin D.	2. Bigi L. (C)
3. Aungier J.	3. Hasa M.
4. Murray D.	4. Canali M.
5. Dowling O.	5. Krumov L.
6. Murphy J.	6. Milano G.
7. Hurley-Langton S.	7. Stavile B.
8. Boyle P. (C)	8. Ferrari G.
9. Blade C.	9. Dominguez T.
10. Carty J.	10. Da Re G.
11. Cordero S.	11. Gesi S.
12. Forde C.	12. Lucchin E.
13. Hawkshaw D.	13. Drago F.
14. Mullins C.	14. Bozzoni F.
15. Jennings S.	15. Montemauri G.
Substitutes
16. De Buitlear E.	16. Ribaldi G.
17. Lasisi T.	17. Rizzoli L.
18. Barrett F.	18. Nocera M.
19. O'Connor D.	19. Nasove R.
20. Mccormack O.	20. Andreani L.
21. Devine M.	21. Fusco A.
22. Naughton S.	22. Bianchi J.
23. Ralston B.	23. Gregory S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 5)
7', Stavile B. (Try),
23', Mullins C. (Try),
29', Mullins C. (Try),
30', Carty J. (Conversion Goal),
35', Tierney-Martin D. (Try),
40', Nasove R. 🟨,
2nd Half (26 - 7)
43', Boyle P. (Try),
44', Carty J. (Conversion Goal),
64', Mullins C. (Try),
72', Cordero S. (Try),
73', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),
77', Fusco A. (Try),
77', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Boyle P. (Try),
80+2', Naughton S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Connacht won 5.

In this match Connacht is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Connacht won 17 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 685:305 (average 34.3:15.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Connacht won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 340:129 (average 34:12.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Connacht - Blue Bulls	14:28 ✺
26.10.24	Connacht - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:7 ✺
19.10.24	Connacht - Leinster	12:33 ✺
12.10.24	Ulster - Connacht	32:24 ✺
04.10.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Connacht	23:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Zebre - Ospreys	22:17 ✺
25.10.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	30:8 ✺
19.10.24	Zebre - Lions	9:10 ✺
11.10.24	Glasgow Warriors - Zebre	33:3 ✺
05.10.24	Zebre - Stormers	5:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
20.04.24	Connacht - Zebre	54:16
18.02.23	Zebre - Connacht	34:57
21.05.22	Connacht - Zebre	22:20
22.11.20	Zebre - Connacht	12:47
06.04.19	Zebre - Connacht	5:6
08.09.18	Connacht - Zebre	32:13
16.02.18	Connacht - Zebre	11:19

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