Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Recreation Ground (Bath)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV5
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Bath		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	17
	1.01	45	13
	1.01	34	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.05)	43.33 ↑ (40.67)	15 ↑ (9.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bath
91.7%

Draw
2.1%

Edinburgh
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.9%

2.3%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bath - Edinburgh Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Bath will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +32.5 - Edinburgh (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Edinburgh (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:18

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Obano B.	1. Whitcombe J.
2. Dunn T.	2. Ashman E.
3. du Toit T.	3. Blyth-Lafferty O.
4. Roux Q.	4. Hunter-Hill C.
5. Molony R.	5. Young G.
6. Pepper G.	6. Dodd T.
7. Underhill S.	7. Douglas F.
8. Barbeary A.	8. Muncaster B.
9. Spencer B. (C)	9. Vellacott B. (C)
10. Russell F.	10. Thompson R.
11. Arundell H.	11. Satala M.
12. Ojomoh M.	12. Lang J.
13. Lawrence O.	13. O'Conor P.
14. Cokanasiga J.	14. Graham D.
15. de Glanville T.	15. Paterson H.
Substitutes
16. Frost D.	16. Morris H.
17. van Wyk F.	17. Jones M.
18. Griffin A.	18. Hill P.
19. Hill T.	19. McVie E.
20. Reid M.	20. Boyle C.
21. Carr-Smith T.	21. Shiel C.
22. Carreras S.	22. Healy B.
23. Redpath C.	23. Brown J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 10)
3', Thompson R. (Penalty Goal),
15', du Toit T. (Try),
16', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
18', (Penalty Try),
31', Obano B. (Try),
32', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
36', O'Conor P. (Try),
37', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Dunn T. (Try),
40+2', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (35 - 0)
58', Cokanasiga J. (Try),
58', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
61', Cokanasiga J. (Try),
62', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
69', Arundell H. (Try),
70', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
71', Cokanasiga J. (Try),
71', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
75', Ojomoh M. (Try),
76', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Bath is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bath won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:65. (average 29:32.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.01.26	Castres - Bath	20:43 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
03.01.26	Bath - Exeter Chiefs	33:26 ✺
27.12.25	Bath - Northampton Saints	21:41 ✺
21.12.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	14:50 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Toulon - Bath	45:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Edinburgh Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.01.26	Edinburgh - Gloucester	26:24 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	14:15 ✺
27.12.25	Edinburgh - Glasgow Warriors	3:21 ✺
20.12.25	Glasgow Warriors - Edinburgh	24:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Castres - Edinburgh	33:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
03.05.25	Edinburgh - Bath	24:39
16.04.22	Edinburgh - Bath	41:19

Upcoming Matches