Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Edinburgh		Saracens

	1	X	2
	2.8	21	1.44
	2.9	26	1.42
	2.85	24	1.46
	2.8	21	1.44
	2.76	27	1.48	Watch
	2.8	24	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.91)	23.83 ↑ (20)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
32.6%

Draw
3.9%

Saracens
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

4.6%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

4.7%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Edinburgh - Saracens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:29

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Preview

Recent matches Edinburgh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Saracens is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Edinburgh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saracens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Edinburgh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 54-88.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
15.01.23	Castres - Edinburgh	21:34 ✺
United Rugby Championship
07.01.23	Edinburgh - Zebre	24:17 ✺
30.12.22	Edinburgh - Glasgow Warriors	25:32 ✺
23.12.22	Glasgow Warriors - Edinburgh	16:10 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Edinburgh - Castres	31:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Saracens FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.01.23	Saracens - Lyon	48:28 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
06.01.23	Gloucester - Saracens	16:19 ✺
31.12.22	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	35:3 ✺
23.12.22	London Irish - Saracens	29:20 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Lyon - Saracens	20:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
11.12.22	Saracens - Edinburgh	30:26
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.12.21	Saracens - Edinburgh	18:21
Heineken Cup
20.01.13	Saracens - Edinburgh	40:7

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