Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Leinster		Leicester Tigers

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.05	41	11
	1.05	25	11
	1.04	41	11
	1.05	50	13.5
	1.04	40	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)	39.67 ↑ (32.67)	10.82 ↑ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leinster
89%

Draw
2.3%

Leicester Tigers
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.6%

2.8%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Leinster - Leicester Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Leicester Tigers will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leinster: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:16

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Porter A.	1. Cronin J.
2. Sheehan D.	2. Montoya J. (C)
3. Furlong T.	3. Cole D.
4. Molony R.	4. Wells H.
5. McCarthy J.	5. Hatherell K.
6. Baird R.	6. Liebenberg H.
7. van der Flier J.	7. Cracknell O.
8. Sweetman-Doris C. (C)	8. Wiese J.
9. Gibson-Park J.	9. van Poortvliet J.
10. Byrne R.	10. Pollard H.
11. Lowe J.	11. Hassell-Collins O.
12. Osborne J.	12. Kata S.
13. Henshaw R.	13. Kelly D.
14. Larmour J.	14. Steward F.
15. Keenan H.	15. Shillcock J.
Substitutes
16. Kelleher R.	16. Clare C.
17. Healy C.	17. van Wyk F.
18. Alaalatoa M.	18. Hurd W.
19. Jenkins J.	19. Carnduff F.
20. Conan J.	20. Ilione E.
21. Murphy B.	21. Whiteley T.
22. Byrne H.	22. Cokanasiga P.
23. Frawley C.	23. Brown M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 10)
4', Pollard H. (Try),
5', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
9', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
12', Gibson-Park J. (Try),
13', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
23', Gibson-Park J. (Try),
28', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
29', Gibson-Park J. (Try),
30', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 12)
45', Lowe J. 🟨,
45', Cronin J. (Try),
49', Henshaw R. (Try),
50', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
71', Conan J. (Try),
72', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
76', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
77', Clare C. (Try),

Preview

Leicester Tigers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leinster is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leinster won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 105-48.

Including matches at home between the teams Leinster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 55-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
29.03.24	Leinster - Blue Bulls	47:14 ✺
23.03.24	Zebre - Leinster	7:31 ✺
02.03.24	Cardiff Rugby - Leinster	20:33 ✺
17.02.24	Leinster - Benetton Treviso	47:18 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
20.01.24	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	10:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- Leicester Tigers
English Premiership Rugby
29.03.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Leicester Tigers	13:19 ✺
22.03.24	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	25:27 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
15.03.24	Gloucester - Leicester Tigers	23:13 ✺
18.02.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Leicester Tigers	21:29 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
26.01.24	Harlequins - Leicester Tigers	19:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
20.01.24	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	10:27
07.04.23	Leinster - Leicester Tigers	55:24
07.05.22	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	14:23

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