Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 18Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Ireland | 17:15 | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 United Kingdom | 17:15 | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
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Leinster |
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Ospreys |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.03 |
51 |
11 |
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1.04 |
50 |
9.4 |
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1.03 |
41 |
11 |
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1.04 |
50 |
14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.04 ↓
(1.07) |
48 ↑
(34.25) |
11.35 ↑
(8.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leinster
89.9% | Draw
1.9% | Ospreys
8.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Leinster - Ospreys Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:15 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (28 - 7)
- 2nd Half (40 - 7)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 4.Leinster is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Ospreys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Leinster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Leinster is the undeniable favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 547:296. (average 27.4:14.8).Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 347:136. (average 34.7:13.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Leinster | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 99:76 | 13 |
| 7 | Ospreys | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 112:121 | 11 |
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Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now
Leinster: 29.54% Ospreys: 0.74%
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 14.02.25 | Ospreys - Leinster | 19:22 | | 11.05.24 | Leinster - Ospreys | 61:14 | | 07.01.23 | Ospreys - Leinster | 19:24 | | 19.02.22 | Leinster - Ospreys | 29:7 | | 19.03.21 | Leinster - Ospreys | 19:24 | | 08.11.20 | Ospreys - Leinster | 7:26 | | 21.02.20 | Ospreys - Leinster | 13:21 |
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