Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 8

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)


	Lions		Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.45	20	2.85
	1.49	22.96	2.78	Watch
	1.44	23	2.75
	1.55	20	2.68
	1.55	21	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)	21.33 ↓ (22.77)	2.74 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
62%

Draw
4.3%

Sharks
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lions's performance.

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lions - Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 10)
2nd Half (14 - 12)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2.

Lions might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lions won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 520:587. (average 26:29.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 347:350. (average 28.9:29.2).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Sharks: 3.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Sharks	2	2	0	0	67:44	10
3	Lions	2	2	0	0	62:45	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
31.01.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	17:52 ✺
23.01.26	Ospreys - Lions	24:24 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Perpignan - Lions	20:20 ✺
10.01.26	Lions - Lyon	42:33 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Sharks - Lions	22:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTWW
- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
31.01.26	Sharks - Stormers	36:24 ✺
24.01.26	Stormers - Sharks	19:30 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Sharks - Clermont	50:12 ✺
10.01.26	Sale Sharks - Sharks	26:10 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Sharks - Lions	22:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Sharks - Lions	22:23
Currie Cup
26.07.25	Lions - Sharks	46:5
United Rugby Championship
08.03.25	Sharks - Lions	25:22
01.03.25	Lions - Sharks	38:14
Currie Cup
21.09.24	Lions - Sharks	14:16
27.07.24	Lions - Sharks	22:35
05.07.24	Sharks - Lions	25:26

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