Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Llanelli Scarlets		Bristol Rugby

	1	X	2
	3.4	23	1.33
	3.75	25	1.28
	3.5	23	1.3
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	23.67 ↓ (25)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
25.8%

Draw
3.9%

Bristol Rugby
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

3.7%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Llanelli Scarlets - Bristol Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Bristol will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:31

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mathias K.	1. Genge E.
2. Elias R.	2. Oghre G.
3. Holz A.	3. Lahiff M.
4. Lousi S.	4. Rubiolo P.
5. Ball J.	5. Batley J.
6. Douglas M.	6. Grondona S.
7. Macleod J. (C)	7. Harding F. (C)
8. Anderson F.	8. Bill
9. Davies G.	9. Marmion K.
10. Costelow S.	10. Worsley S.
11. Mee E.	11. Ravouvou K.
12. Williams J.	12. Williams J.
13. James E.	13. Janse van Rensburg B.
14. Rogers T.	14. Rees-Zammit L.
15. Davies J.	15. Jordan T.
Substitutes
16. van der Merwe M.	16. Thacker H.
17. O'Connor S.	17. Woolmore J.
18. Thomas H.	18. Chawatama L.
19. Taylor J.	19. Owen J.
20. Davis D.	20. Grondona B.
21. Blacker D.	21. Wolstenholme S.
22. Hawkins J.	22. Boshoff A.
23. Roberts J.	23. Carrington J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 12)
3', Bill (Try),
4', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
18', Bill (Try),
24', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
29', Bill 🟨,
33', Davies G. (Try),
34', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 5)
50', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
53', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
55', Rees-Zammit L. (Try),

Preview

Bristol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bristol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bristol is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Scarlets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 65:148. (average 21.7:49.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarlets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:86. (average 24.5:43).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Glasgow Warriors	23:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	29:19 ✺
18.10.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	29:18 ✺
10.10.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers	0:34 ✺
27.09.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	21:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLL
- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
29.11.25	Bristol Rugby - Northampton Saints	46:12 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	22:17 ✺
31.10.25	Bristol Rugby - Bath	19:49 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.25	Bath - Bristol Rugby	40:15 ✺
17.10.25	Gloucester - Bristol Rugby	34:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Rugby Union
02.09.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Bristol Rugby	28:34
European Rugby Champions Cup
22.01.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Bristol Rugby	21:52
British and Irish Cup
22.11.15	Bristol Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	62:16

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