Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports


	Lyon		Blue Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.25	21	4
	1.2	26	4.5
	1.26	31	4.05
	1.26	27	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.42)	26.2 ↑ (21)	4.15 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lyon
74.3%

Draw
3.5%

Blue Bulls
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

4.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

4.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.

Blue Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blue Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blue Bulls than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blue Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Lyon - Blue Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:22

#ad

Preview

Lyon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blue Bulls is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lyon is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lyon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 67-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon OU
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.12.23	Bristol Rugby - Lyon	36:34 ✺
French Top 14
02.12.23	Castres - Lyon	29:14 ✺
25.11.23	Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais	42:29 ✺
18.11.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Lyon	38:20 ✺
11.11.23	Lyon - Stade Français	32:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Blue Bulls Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.12.23	Blue Bulls - Saracens	27:16 ✺
United Rugby Championship
02.12.23	Blue Bulls - Sharks	44:10 ✺
25.11.23	Blue Bulls - Connacht	53:27 ✺
17.11.23	Edinburgh - Blue Bulls	31:23 ✺
10.11.23	Cardiff Rugby - Blue Bulls	12:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
20.01.23	Lyon - Blue Bulls	31:7
10.12.22	Blue Bulls - Lyon	42:36

Upcoming Matches