Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Newport Gwent Dragons		Northampton Saints

	1	X	2
	2.37	21	1.61
	2.1	23	1.73
	2.48	23	1.58
	2.25	20	1.6
	2.25	21	1.67
	2.33	23	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (3.12)	21.83 ↓ (22.4)	1.65 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newport Gwent Dragons
40%

Draw
4.2%

Northampton Saints
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

4.1%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

3.7%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport Gwent Dragons's performance.

Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport Gwent Dragons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Newport Gwent Dragons - Northampton Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dragons will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Northampton Saints will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dragons: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:26

#ad

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Northampton Saints will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 58-158.

Including matches at home between the teams Dragons won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 37-69.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
28.03.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Edinburgh	24:17 ✺
21.03.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Glasgow Warriors	26:17 ✺
13.03.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	22:26 ✺
06.03.21	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	20:31 ✺
27.02.21	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	26:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWL
- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby
27.03.21	Worcester Warriors - Northampton Saints	14:62 ✺
21.03.21	Northampton Saints - Bristol Rugby	21:28 ✺
13.03.21	Northampton Saints - Sale Sharks	17:14 ✺
07.03.21	Harlequins - Northampton Saints	37:19 ✺
28.02.21	Northampton Saints - Bath	22:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
08.12.18	Northampton Saints - Newport Gwent Dragons	48:14
19.10.18	Newport Gwent Dragons - Northampton Saints	21:35
Anglo-Welsh Cup
11.11.17	Northampton Saints - Newport Gwent Dragons	41:7
LV= Cup
25.01.14	Newport Gwent Dragons - Northampton Saints	16:34

Upcoming Matches