Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Northampton Saints		Toulon

	1	X	2
	1.44	23	2.88
	1.4	23	2.88
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.52	27	2.63
	1.42	24	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)	23.6 ↑ (22)	2.83 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Saints
63.7%

Draw
3.9%

Toulon
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

4.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

4.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Northampton Saints - Toulon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Northampton Saints will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Toulon will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:22

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Toulon have a series of home games.

Northampton Saints will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Northampton Saints to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Saints
European Rugby Champions Cup
08.12.23	Glasgow Warriors - Northampton Saints	19:28 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
02.12.23	Saracens - Northampton Saints	12:18 ✺
24.11.23	Northampton Saints - Harlequins	36:33 ✺
18.11.23	Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints	26:17 ✺
12.11.23	Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs	34:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWLW
- RC Toulonnais
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.12.23	Toulon - Exeter Chiefs	18:19 ✺
French Top 14
02.12.23	Toulon - Section Paloise	36:13 ✺
25.11.23	Toulon - Castres	41:19 ✺
18.11.23	Clermont - Toulon	27:30 ✺
12.11.23	Toulon - Racing Métro	31:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

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