Match Info
WORLD: Super Rugby - Round 2Date: 21 February 2025, FridayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
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 |
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 |
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Reds |
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Moana Pasifika |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.11 |
34 |
6.5 |
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 |
1.13 |
35 |
5.4 |
|
 |
1.15 |
34.75 |
5.85 |
Watch |
 |
1.12 |
29 |
6 |
|
 |
1.12 |
26 |
6 |
|
 |
1.13 |
35 |
5.4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.13 ↓ (1.16) |
32.29 ↑ (27.25) |
5.86 ↑ (5.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Reds 81.5% | Draw 2.8% | Moana Pasifika 15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Moana Pasifika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Reds - Moana Pasifika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Faagase S.
| 1. Lay J.
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2. Asiata R.
| 2. Sanerivi M.
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3. De Lutiis M.
| 3. Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F.
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4. Canham J.
| 4. Slade S.
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5. Smith R.
| 5. Craig A.
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6. Uru S.
| 6. Faiilagi M.
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7. Mcreight F.
| 7. Havili Talitui S.
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8. Wilson H.
| 8. Savea A.
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9. McDermott T.
| 9. Taumateine J.
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10. Lynagh T.
| 10. Garden-Bachop J.
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11. Daugunu F.
| 11. Taumoefolau K.
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12. Paisami O.
| 12. Lalomilo L.
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13. Flook J.
| 13. Patafilo P.
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14. Ryan T.
| 14. Alaimalo S.
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15. Campbell J.
| 15. Havili W.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Faessler M.
| 16. Malolo S.
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17. Blake G.
| 17. Tuipulotu T.
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18. Nonggorr Z.
| 18. Apoua C.
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19. Blyth A.
| 19. Savage T.
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20. Brial J.
| 20. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.
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21. Thomas K.
| 21. Matavao M.
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22. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
| 22. Toala D.
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23. Anderson L.
| 23. Filipo L.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Kiss L.
| . Umaga T.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 8)
- 3', Uru S. (Try),
- 4', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Daugunu F. (Try),
- 9', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Ryan T. (Try),
- 13', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Paisami O. 🟨,
- 20', Savea A. (Try),
- 21', Havili W. (Missed Conversion),
- 29', Smith R. 🟨,
- 31', Lalomilo L. ↓, Toala D. ↑,
- 40', Mcreight F. 🟨,
- 40+2', Havili W. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (35 - 28)
- 41', Asiata R. ↓, Faessler M. ↑,
- 44', Faessler M. (Try),
- 45', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Alaimalo S. (Try),
- 51', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Slade S. ↓, Savage T. ↑,
- 51', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. ↓, Apoua C. ↑,
- 51', Lay J. ↓, Tupou Ta'eiloa S. ↑,
- 51', De Lutiis M. ↓, Nonggorr Z. ↑,
- 51', Faagase S. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
- 54', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
- 54', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Ryan T. ↓, Anderson L. ↑,
- 55', Canham J. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
- 56', Alaimalo S. ↓, Filipo L. ↑,
- 58', Blyth A. (Try),
- 59', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Sanerivi M. ↓, Malolo S. ↑,
- 60', Smith R. (Try),
- 61', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Savea A. ↓, Tauelangi O. ↑,
- 68', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
- 69', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', McDermott T. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
- 70', Uru S. ↓, Brial J. ↑,
- 71', Mcreight F. (Try),
- 72', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Lynagh T. ↓, McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↑,
- 77', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Try),
- 77', Taumateine J. ↓, Matavao M. ↑,
- 78', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Craig A. (Try),
- 80+1', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Moana Pasifika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Reds is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Reds won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 88:67 (average 29.3:22.3). Including matches at home between the teams Reds won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 34:22
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 12.04.24 | Moana Pasifika - Reds | 17:14 | | 14.04.23 | Moana Pasifika - Reds | 28:40 | | 20.05.22 | Reds - Moana Pasifika | 34:22 |
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