Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Kings Park Stadium (Durban)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, France 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1
World	FloSports app


	Sharks		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	7.5	34	1.08
	6	34	1.1
	6.7	30	1.11
	7.34	35.19	1.1
	7	41	1.1
	9	34	1.08
	6.7	30	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (3.86)	34.03 ↑ (22.77)	1.1 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sharks
12.9%

Draw
2.7%

Toulouse
84.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

4.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sharks's form might have worsened.

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sharks - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:36

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nche O.	1. Neti R.
2. Mbonambi B.	2. Mauvaka P.
3. Koch V.	3. Aldegheri D.
4. Rahl C.	4. Flament T.
5. Jenkins J.	5. Meafou E.
6. Buthelezi P.	6. Cros F.
7. Tshituka E.	7. Jelonch A.
8. Kolisi S. (C)	8. Willis J.
9. Hendrikse J.	9. Dupont A. (C)
10. Hendrikse J.	10. Ntamack R.
11. Mapimpi M.	11. Lebel M.
12. Venter F.	12. Chocobares S.
13. Hooker E.	13. Barassi P.
14. Penxe Y.	14. Kinghorn B.
15. Kunene H.	15. Ramos T.
Substitutes
16. Richardson D.	16. Marchand J.
17. Dreyer R.	17. Baille C.
18. Nyakane T.	18. Merkler J.
19. Labuschagne J.	19. Brennan J.
20. Tshituka V.	20. Banos L.
21. Hatton N.	21. Graou P.
22. Davids B.	22. Mallia J.
23. Julius J.	23. Capuozzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 13)
10', Meafou E. (Try),
10', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
14', Hendrikse J. (Penalty Goal),
36', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
40+3', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (5 - 7)
43', Kinghorn B. (Try),
44', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
67', Julius J. (Try),

Preview

Recent matches Sharks is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Toulouse is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sharks could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Toulouse is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sharks won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.12.24	Stormers - Sharks	24:20 ✺
21.12.24	Sharks - Blue Bulls	20:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.24	Leicester Tigers - Sharks	56:17 ✺
07.12.24	Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	39:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Sharks - Stormers	21:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
04.01.25	La Rochelle - Toulouse	22:19 ✺
29.12.24	Toulouse - Stade Français	38:23 ✺
22.12.24	Lyon - Toulouse	17:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
15.12.24	Exeter Chiefs - Toulouse	21:64 ✺
08.12.24	Toulouse - Ulster	61:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
08.04.23	Toulouse - Sharks	54:20

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