Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Ernest-Wallon (Toulouse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, France 2
Germany	More Than Sports TV
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	FloSports app


	Toulouse		Ulster

	1	X	2
	1.02	51	15
	1.01	41	13
	1.04	35	11
	1.02	43.71	14.57	Watch
	1.02	51	17
	1.02	50	21
	1.04	35	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)	43.82 ↓ (48.38)	14.65 ↑ (13.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toulouse
91.5%

Draw
2.1%

Ulster
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.9%

1.9%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Toulouse - Ulster Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ulster will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:14

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ainuu D.	1. Warwick A.
2. Mauvaka P.	2. McCormick J.
3. Aldegheri D.	3. Wilson S.
4. Flament T.	4. O'Connor A. (C)
5. Meafou E.	5. Sheridan H.
6. Willis J.	6. Rea M.
7. Banos L.	7. Rea M.
8. Roumat A.	8. McNabney J.
9. Dupont A. (C)	9. Doak N.
10. Ntamack R.	10. Morgan A.
11. Lebel M.	11. Lowry M.
12. Chocobares S.	12. McCloskey S.
13. Barassi P.	13. Carson B.
14. Capuozzo A.	14. Kok W.
15. Ramos T.	15. Moore S.
Substitutes
16. Marchand J.	16. Herring R.
17. Neti R.	17. O’Sullivan E.
18. Merkler J.	18. O'Toole T.
19. Brennan J.	19. Henderson I.
20. Ntamack T.	20. Izuchukwu C.
21. Graou P.	21. Shanahan D.
22. Costes P.	22. Postlethwaite J.
23. Mallia J.	23. Timoney N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (40 - 14)
1', Lebel M. (Try),
8', Ntamack R. (Try),
9', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
12', McCormick J. (Try),
12', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
14', Meafou E. (Try),
15', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
27', Capuozzo A. (Try),
28', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
29', Dupont A. (Try),
30', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
36', Moore S. (Try),
36', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Meafou E. (Try),
40+3', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 7)
50', Chocobares S. (Try),
51', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
56', Capuozzo A. (Try),
57', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
67', Henderson I. (Try),
68', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
80', (Penalty Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 4.

Toulouse is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Toulouse is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 186:166 (average 26.6:23.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 79:59 (average 26.3:19.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
30.11.24	Racing Métro - Toulouse	17:21 ✺
23.11.24	Toulouse - Perpignan	41:9 ✺
03.11.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse	12:8 ✺
27.10.24	Toulouse - Toulon	57:5 ✺
19.10.24	Section Paloise - Toulouse	14:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
29.11.24	Ulster - Leinster	20:27 ✺
26.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Ulster	21:19 ✺
18.10.24	Ulster - Ospreys	36:12 ✺
12.10.24	Ulster - Connacht	32:24 ✺
05.10.24	Blue Bulls - Ulster	47:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
13.01.24	Ulster - Toulouse	24:48
16.04.22	Ulster - Toulouse	23:30
09.04.22	Toulouse - Ulster	20:26
11.12.20	Ulster - Toulouse	22:29
20.09.20	Toulouse - Ulster	36:8
20.12.15	Toulouse - Ulster	23:25
11.12.15	Ulster - Toulouse	38:0

Upcoming Matches