Match Info
Top 14 - Round 14Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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France | 16:35 | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport |
United Kingdom | 15:35 | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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Stade Français |
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Castres |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.07 |
34 |
8 |
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 |
1.07 |
35 |
7.6 |
|
 |
1.08 |
35.95 |
9.11 |
Watch |
 |
1.06 |
34 |
8 |
|
 |
1.06 |
36 |
9 |
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 |
1.07 |
41 |
8.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.07 ↓ (1.12) |
35.99 ↑ (28.13) |
8.37 ↑ (7.17) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Stade Français 86.4% | Draw 2.6% | Castres 11% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Stade Français - Castres Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:19 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Abramishvili S.
| 1. Walcker Q.
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2. Nicotera G.
| 2. Zarantonello L.
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3. Melikidze G.
| 3. Corato N.
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4. Azagoh P.
| 4. Vanverberghe F. (C)
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5. Pesenti B.
| 5. Staniforth T.
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6. Halaifonua T.
| 6. Maravat G.
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7. Briatte R. (C)
| 7. Ramototabua V.
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8. Tanga Mangene Y.
| 8. Ardron T.
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9. Kerr-Barlow T.
| 9. Fernandez J.
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10. Carbonel L.
| 10. Guilhot L.
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11. Ezeala S.
| 11. Ambadiang C.
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12. Nene N.
| 12. Botitu V.
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13. Marchant J.
| 13. Karawalevu V.
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14. Dakuwaqa P.
| 14. Vargas A.
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15. Barre L.
| 15. Chabouni T.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Peyresblanques L.
| 16. Durand T.
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17. Alo-Emile M.
| 17. Galisson L.
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18. Gabrillagues P.
| 18. Jedrasiak P.
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19. Hirigoyen M.
| 19. Nakarawa L.
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20. Macalou S.
| 20. Meka S.
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21. Ward J. C.
| 21. Doubrere G.
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22. Motassi T.
| 22. Popelin P.
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23. Alo-Emile P.
| 23. Chilachava L.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 0)
- 10', Halaifonua T. (Try),
- 10', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Carbonel L. (Try),
- 20', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 15)
- 41', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 47', Kerr-Barlow T. (Try),
- 59', Botitu V. (Try),
- 69', Peyresblanques L. (Try),
- 69', Popelin P. 🟨,
- 70', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Halaifonua T. 🟨,
- 78', (Try),
- 78', (Try),
- 78', (Conversion Goal),
- 79', (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, Stade Français is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 421:422. (average 21.1:21.1).Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 255:119. (average 28.3:13.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 147:158 | 14 |
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| 13 | Castres Olympique | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 126:153 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 18.10.25 | Castres - Stade Français | 29:24 | | 07.06.25 | Stade Français - Castres | 21:10 | | 19.10.24 | Castres - Stade Français | 35:13 | | 01.06.24 | Castres - Stade Français | 27:18 | | 04.11.23 | Stade Français - Castres | 39:16 | | 07.01.23 | Stade Français - Castres | 26:7 | | 10.09.22 | Castres - Stade Français | 30:20 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;