Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 7

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Stormers		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.1	34	7
	1.12	35	6.2
	1.14	26.23	6.16	Watch
	1.13	29	6
	1.14	26	5.99
	1.12	31	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.12)	30.21 ↓ (33.19)	6.28 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
82.2%

Draw
3.1%

Lions
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.4%

2.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stormers - Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 17)
2nd Half (24 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 4.

Stormers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stormers is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 544:485. (average 27.2:24.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stormers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 242:180. (average 24.2:18).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Stormers - La Rochelle	42:21 ✺
05.12.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Stormers	17:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Munster - Stormers	26:27 ✺
25.10.25	Benetton Treviso - Stormers	16:31 ✺
18.10.25	Zebre - Stormers	13:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW
- Lions Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Lions	14:10 ✺
06.12.25	Lions - Benetton Treviso	18:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Blue Bulls - Lions	33:43 ✺
25.10.25	Lions - Ulster	49:31 ✺
18.10.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	29:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
15.02.25	Lions - Stormers	30:23
21.12.24	Stormers - Lions	29:10
01.06.24	Stormers - Lions	29:24
21.10.23	Lions - Stormers	33:35
31.12.22	Stormers - Lions	40:8
29.10.22	Lions - Stormers	22:31
12.02.22	Lions - Stormers	10:32

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