Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Weller F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	DFB Play, Laola1, RTL+, Sky Sport 10, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport Mix
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	VG+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	1860 München		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.38	Watch
	6.50	5.25	1.41
	6.4	4.15	1.38
	6.43	5.4	1.43
	6.19	5.19	1.41	Watch
	6.15	5.25	1.37
	6.43	5.35	1.38	Watch
	6.2	4.7	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (5.03)	5.01 ↑ (4.52)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
14.4%

Draw
18.6%

Holstein Kiel
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

20.8%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

1860 München - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Eicher V. (G) 2. Bell J. 6. Hoppe B. 33. Fassmann L. 47. Fiedler L. 14. Dressel D. 10. Deniz T. 9. Wagner F. 13. Eberwein M. 19. Erdogan E. 7. Niederlechner F.	41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 32. Sekine H. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 47. Tolkin J. 28. Meffert J. (C) 20. Kapralik A. 8. Balzi G. 10. Therkelsen J. 17. Alidou F. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
1. Bachmann P. (G) 12. Calderon A. 5. Collins M. 39. Estermann L. 24. Gevorgyan M. 17. Leone C. 21. Seiffert M. 8. Wach R. 4. Weber F.	15. Davidsen K. 11. de Regt G. 6. Ivezic M. 5. Madsen N. 40. Parduzi L. 22. Reimers M. 3. Takahashi N. 27. Ugoh I. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Kayabunar A.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Dressel D. 🟨,
20', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Kapralik A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Therkelsen J. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
55', Alidou F. ↓, de Regt G. ↑,
57', Tolkin J. 🟨,
65', Niederlechner F. ↓, Gevorgyan M. ↑,
65', Deniz T. ↓, Wach R. ↑,
74', Sekine H. 🟨,
77', Bell J. ↓, Calderon A. ↑,
82', Tolkin J. ↓, Parduzi L. ↑,
82', Kapralik A. ↓, Reimers M. ↑,
87', Davidsen K. 🟨,
88', Wagner F. ↓, Seiffert M. ↑,
88', Erdogan E. ↓, Leone C. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Balzi G. ⚽,

Preview

Holstein Kiel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

1860 München may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Holstein Kiel is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Deisenhofen - 1860 München	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
16.05.26	Verl - 1860 München	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Schweinfurt - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	1860 München - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTW
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Swansea City - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
19.08.18	1860 München - Holstein Kiel	1:3
German 3 Bundesliga
02.06.15	1860 München - Holstein Kiel	2:1
29.05.15	Holstein Kiel - 1860 München	0:0
German DFB Pokal
17.08.14	Holstein Kiel - 1860 München	1:2

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