Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)

Referee: Vera M. (Ecu)


	9 de Octubre		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.55
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.7	3.4	2.38
	2.65	3.25	2.42
	2.8	3.41	2.46
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.73	3.48	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.32)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	2.43 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
34.2%

Draw
27.7%

LDU Quito
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

26.8%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

9 de Octubre - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

LDU Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.09.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - 9 de Octubre	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
21.09.22	9 de Octubre - Independiente del Valle	4:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.09.22	Delfín - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
14.09.22	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.09.22	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.09.22	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	2:2 ✺
09.09.22	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	LDU Quito - Orense	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	LDU Quito - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.05.22	LDU Quito - 9 de Octubre	2:0
25.07.21	9 de Octubre - LDU Quito	4:1
19.02.21	LDU Quito - 9 de Octubre	4:2

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