Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 1

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	ADA Jaén		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	4.60	3.60	1.60
	5.30	3.75	1.58
	3.52	2.96	2.21	Watch
	4.75	3.80	1.53
	5.17	3.80	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.33)	3.58 ↓ (3.8)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ADA Jaén
19.8%

Draw
25.8%

Comerciantes Unidos
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.2%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

23.6%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

ADA Jaén - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - ADA (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Comerciantes Unidos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ADA (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
90', 2 - 0, Rodriguez F. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by ADA have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Comerciantes Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Comerciantes Unidos is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, ADA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADA Jaén
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.26	Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	ADA Jaén - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	ADA Jaén - Universidad San Martín	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	ADA Jaén - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLT
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL

Upcoming Matches