Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV3
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Olympique Marseille		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.7	3.9	4.75
	1.72	4.05	4.8	Watch
	1.73	3.97	4.93
	1.72	3.97	4.94
	1.65	4	5
	1.67	4	5.15
	1.7	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	3.96 ↑ (3.91)	4.95 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
56.4%

Draw
24.2%

AEK Athens
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

25.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	4.2%	18.7%

Olympique Marseille - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). AEK will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 65.2% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Blanco R. (G) 7. Clauss J. 99. Mbemba Ch. 5. Balerdi L. 12. Lodi R. 11. Harit A. 21. Rongier V. (C) 19. Kondogbia G. 27. Veretout J. 29. Ndiaye I. 9. Vitinha	1. Stankovic C. (G) 29. Sidibe D. 21. Vida D. 2. Moukoudi H. 28. Hajsafi E. 4. Szymanski D. (C) 6. Jonsson J. 5. Amrabat N. 13. Pineda O. 20. Mantalos P. 10. Zuber S.
Substitutes
10. Aubameyang P. 4. Gigot S. 18. Meite A. 62. Murillo M. 34. Nadir B. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 8. Ounahi A. 23. Sarr I. 37. Soglo E.	30. Athanasiadis G. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 25. Galanopoulos K. 24. Mitoglou G. 3. Mohammadi M. 14. Ponce E. 12. Rota L. 99. Theocharis G. (G)
Coaches
Gattuso G.	Almeyda M.

Preview

Marseille is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AEK is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marseille is a favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Clauss J. (Thigh Injury) Gigot S. (Injury) Gueye P. (Suspended) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Garcia L. (Knock)

There are questionable in Marseille: Correa J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
21.10.23	Nice - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Olympique Marseille - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
30.09.23	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	3:2 ✺
24.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLL
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
22.10.23	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	AEK Athens - Panetolikos	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	AEK Athens - Ajax	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
02.10.23	OFI - AEK Athens	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	AEK Athens - Atromitos Athens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
01.11.26	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	✺
- AEK Athens
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	AEK Athens - Real Madrid	✺
Greek Super League
01.11.26	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	✺
Greek Cup
28.10.26	PAOK - AEK Athens	✺

Olympique Marseille - AEK Athens