Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	AFC Wimbledon		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	2.1
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.3	2.12
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.64	3.39	2.15
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.55	3.54	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.36)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.11 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
26.9%

Draw
28.3%

Sunderland
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21.5%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Wimbledon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).

Wimbledon has the most likely position - 20 (19.86%), has project points - 49, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 6 (13.72%), has project points - 78, has currently - 54, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Sunderland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wimbledon have a series of home games.

Sunderland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
08.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Charlton Athletic - AFC Wimbledon	3:2 ✺
01.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
29.01.22	AFC Wimbledon - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
25.01.22	AFC Wimbledon - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTTL
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
08.02.22	Cheltenham Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	6:0 ✺
22.01.22	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.08.21	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
16.01.21	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	0:3
15.12.20	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	1:1
24.08.19	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	3:1
02.02.19	Sunderland - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
25.08.18	AFC Wimbledon - Sunderland	1:2

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