Match Info

Date: 8 February 2022, Tuesday


	Cheltenham Town		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.15
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	3.2	3.3	2.14
	3.43	3.53	2.18
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.36	3.7	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.94)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	2.17 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
28.7%

Draw
27.6%

Sunderland
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

20.8%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheltenham Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cheltenham Town - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).

Cheltenham has the most likely position - 19 (13.7%), has project points - 52, has currently - 33, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has the most likely position - 4 (14.53%), has project points - 80, has currently - 54, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (56%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Cheltenham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sunderland is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sunderland will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
01.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
29.01.22	Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Cheltenham Town - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLTT
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
05.02.22	Sunderland - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sunderland	6:0 ✺
22.01.22	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Accrington Stanley - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
11.01.22	Sunderland - Lincoln City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.09.21	Sunderland - Cheltenham Town	5:0

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