Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Lazio		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.8	5.3
	1.68	3.6	5.4
	1.68	3.64	5.98
	1.67	3.68	5.35
	1.71	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	3.67 ↓ (3.78)	5.49 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
56.7%

Draw
25.9%

AZ Alkmaar
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

24.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	6%	7%

Lazio - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (87 of 100 users predict this - 87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.41% – 93.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Lazio has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (59%), has a chance of semis (38%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

AZ has currently - 15, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (22%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has quality 65, very big importance 100, big match rating 83. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Lazio in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches AZ is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

There will not play in Lazio: Immobile C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Bazoer R. (Knee Injury) Beukema S. (Knee Injury) Martins Indi B. (Hip Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) de Wit D. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Casale N. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Lazio to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
03.03.23	Napoli - Lazio	0:1 ✺
27.02.23	Lazio - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	CFR Cluj - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.02.23	Salernitana - Lazio	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.02.23	Lazio - CFR Cluj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTWW
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
03.03.23	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
10.02.23	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	5:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
07.02.23	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
27.10.26	Sassuolo - Lazio	✺
24.10.26	Lazio - Parma	✺
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	✺

Lazio - AZ Alkmaar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide