Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Paramount+, Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 14
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	AZ Alkmaar		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	9.5
	1.29	5.25	8.5
	1.24	5.4	11.5
	1.26	6.24	10.34
	1.27	6.11	10.28	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9
	1.3	6.35	9.75
	1.42	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.53)	5.66 ↑ (4.24)	9.61 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
73.5%

Draw
16.7%

Noah Yerevan
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.

Noah Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noah Yerevan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

AZ Alkmaar - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Noah will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - AZ (1.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - AZ (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Noah (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - AZ (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Noah (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 5. Penetra 23. van Duijl B. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 26. Smit K. 11. Sadiq I. 9. Parrott T. 27. Daal R.	92. Ploshchadnyi A. (G) 3. Muradyan S. 39. Saintini N. 44. Zolotic N. 33. Sualehe D. 14. Oshima T. 88. Eteki Y. 17. Sangare G. 19. Hambardzumyan H. (C) 32. Mulahusejnovic N. 7. Ferreira H.
Substitutes
74. Boogaard K. 4. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 19. Hornkamp J. 18. Ichihara R. 17. Jensen I. 35. Meerdink M. 24. Oufkir A. 33. Sin M. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati 41. Zoet J. (G)	6. Boakye E. 16. Fayulu T. (G) 99. Harutyunyan H. 47. Jakolis M. 23. Khamoyan A. 10. Manvelyan G. 9. Matheus Aias 11. Oulad Omar I. 37. Silva G.
Coaches
Echteld L.	Perkovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Daal R. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, Koopmeiners P. (A),
44', Mijnans S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, Daal R. (A),
57', Hambardzumyan H. ↓, Oulad Omar I. ↑,
57', Sangare G. ↓, Matheus Aias ↑,
63', Mulahusejnovic N. ↓, Jakolis M. ↑,
68', Mijnans S. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
68', Smit K. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
69', Dijkstra E. 🟨,
73', Muradyan S. 🟨,
80', Muradyan S. ↓, Boakye E. ↑,
80', Matheus Aias ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
80', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
83', Sadiq I. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
83', Daal R. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
87', Boogaard K. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Jensen I. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.

AZ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AZ is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Ankle Injury) Goes W. (Yellow Cards) Kasius D. (Injury)

There will not play in Noah: Gregorio G. (Knee Injury) Hakobyan M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in AZ: Maikuma S. (Injury) Weslley Patati (Injury)

There are questionable in Noah: Saintini N. (Injury) Sangare G. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
22.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Noah Yerevan - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.02.26	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW
- FC Noah Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Noah Yerevan - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.02.26	Rostov - Noah Yerevan	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Noah Yerevan	2:0 ✺
11.12.25	Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
06.12.25	Noah Yerevan - BKMA Yerevan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Noah Yerevan - AZ Alkmaar	1:0

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