Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Cyncoed Campus (Cardiff)

Referee: Jones H. (Wal)


	Cardiff Metropolitan		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.42	4.6	6.4
	1.43	4.98	6.1
	1.45	4.8	5.99	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.39	4.55	6.95
	1.42	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.2)	4.62 ↓ (5.85)	6.23 ↓ (11.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Metropolitan
65.3%

Draw
19.9%

Aberystwyth Town
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.5%

15.7%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Metropolitan's form might have worsened.

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aberystwyth Town's recent form is better than expected.

Cardiff Metropolitan - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lang A. (G) 2. Chubb M. 19. Clay J. 16. Craven C. 3. Edwards J. 7. Evans E. 10. Jones S. 8. Kabongo D. 9. Rees L. 6. Reynolds R. 29. Vincent T.	1. Jones D. (G) 23. Arnison H. 4. Bradford L. 16. Davies B. 3. Davies R. 7. Evans J. 9. Flint N. 10. Owen J. 27. Patterson R. 6. Thorn J. 2. Walsh L.
Substitutes
17. Cadwallader E. 18. Gibbins C. J. 14. Morris J. 11. Roscrow A. 41. Saunders 21. Soady B. 32. Wright C.	22. Dafis G. 28. Darlington A. 5. Ealing F. 17. Huxley C. 12. Mason T. 21. Osment S. (G) 19. Torry D.
Coaches
Jenkins R.	Corbisiero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', 🟨,
36', Davies B. 🟨,
38', Jones S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Rees L. ⚽,
57', Kabongo D. 🟨,
63', Owen J. ↓, Torry D. ↑,
64', Craven C. 🟨,
75', Jones S. ↓, Roscrow A. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Vincent T. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Chubb M. ⚽,
82', Davies R. ↓, Huxley C. ↑,
85', Kabongo D. ↓, Cadwallader E. ↑,
88', Edwards J. ↓, Gibbins C. J. ↑,
88', Craven C. ↓, Soady B. ↑,
90', Evans J. ↓, Darlington A. ↑,
90', Flint N. ↓, Mason T. ↑,
90', Patterson R. ↓, Dafis G. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff Metropolitan won 5.

Cardiff Metropolitan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aberystwyth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aberystwyth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cardiff Metropolitan is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cardiff Metropolitan won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 43:21 (average 2.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff Metropolitan won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:13 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.11.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	3:3 ✺
02.11.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Newtown	2:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
21.10.24	Cardiff City U21 - Cardiff Metropolitan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWL
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.11.24	Aberystwyth Town - Newtown	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Aberystwyth Town	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Aberystwyth Town - The New Saints	2:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
22.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.10.24	Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 47.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
24.09.24	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:2
02.12.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Aberystwyth Town	4:2
12.08.23	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1
01.10.22	Cardiff Metropolitan - Aberystwyth Town	2:1
Welsh League Cup
20.09.22	Cardiff Metropolitan - Aberystwyth Town	3:2 penalties
Welsh Cymru Premier
20.08.22	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:4
09.04.22	Cardiff Metropolitan - Aberystwyth Town	1:1

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