Match Info

Cymru South - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.25	2.82
	2.22	3.39	2.95
	2.2	3.61	2.96	Watch
	2.1	3.1	2.9
	2.21	3.32	2.88
	2.14	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.06)	3.33 ↓ (3.53)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
41.6%

Draw
27.2%

Cardiff Draconians
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Davies L. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Mason T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
89', 2 - 2, Treharne H. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, McKenzie Z. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

Cardiff Draconians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aberystwyth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aberystwyth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
01.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Caerau Ely - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cambrian United	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ynyshir Albions	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLW
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
16.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Cardiff Draconians	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cardiff Draconians - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Caerau Ely - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Cardiff Draconians - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Newport City - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.09.25	Cardiff Draconians - Aberystwyth Town	3:1

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