Match Info

Cymru South - Round 19

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Baglan Dragons		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.4
	2.97	3.19	2.29
	2.84	3.2	2.47	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.1
	2.93	3.55	2.25
	2.9	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.72)	3.17 ↓ (3.46)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
31.7%

Draw
28.7%

Aberystwyth Town
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Baglan Dragons - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Ricketts R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).

Aberystwyth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baglan Dragons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
5	Baglan Dragons	10	5	1	4	11:11	0	16

Last Results with these Odds

Baglan Dragons - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.14%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
24.01.26	Ynyshir Albions - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLL
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
31.01.26	Newport City - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Draconians	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Caerau Ely - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
09.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Baglan Dragons	2:1

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