The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 66.8%
Draw 20.7%
Moquegua 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75.1%
16%
8.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.
Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Cienciano - Moquegua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 26. Aguilar R. 3. Becerra K. 27. Yovera A. 25. Salazar R. 39. Caparo H. 8. Aguirre G. 14. Cavero S. 10. Hohberg A. 19. Succar M. 21. Garces C. (C)
1. Grados C. (G) 4. Perleche A. 3. Enciso C. 30. Granda J. 24. Moreno K. 7. Lastre E. 8. Mejia C. 25. Chipao R. 17. Zapata Y. 10. Chavez N. (C) 16. Davila A.
Substitutes
11. Bandiera N. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 18. La Torre D. 16. Martinich M. 13. Nunez C. 29. Robles A. 37. Rojas A. 17. Sandoval R. 7. Souza Espana C.
90. Collazos J. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 6. Jimenez J. 13. Lojas J. 28. Lopez J. 22. Montenegro E. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Ramirez D. 88. Torres R.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.
Serna J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Zapata Y. ⚽, Mejia C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aguirre G. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
46', Salazar R. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
46', Cavero S. ↓, Martinich M. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Bandiera N. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
48', Martinich M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Garces C. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
66', Mejia C. ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
66', Succar M. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
67', Yovera A. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
69', Davila A. 🟨,
82', Davila A. ↓, Montenegro E. ↑,
82', Moreno K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
82', Zapata Y. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
90', Perleche A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).
Cienciano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Moquegua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Moquegua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cienciano is the undisputed favorite.