The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 31.8%
Draw 28.1%
Swindon Town 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
27.3%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
26.9%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
0%
92.3%
Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swindon Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cox M. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Boyle W. (C) 25. Ruffels J. 20. Kabia I. 10. Sang T. 14. Perry T. 30. Berkoe K. 11. Scully A. 9. Lloyd G. 19. Morgan I.
1. Ripley C. (G) 8. Clarke O. (C) 6. Ball J. 34. Kirkman B. 33. McGregor J. 7. Nichols T. 18. Kilkenny G. 26. Batty J. 23. Drinan A. 44. Oldaker D. 28. Palmer O.
Substitutes
4. Anderson T. 3. Benning M. 12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 7. McDermott T. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 26. Stubbs S.
25. Borland A. 24. Holman F. 3. Mabete F. 29. Olakigbe M. 21. Scanlon J. 19. Snowdon J. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Cowan G.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Morgan I. ⚽, Hoole L. (A),
22', Hoole L. 🟨,
31', Clarke O. 🟨,
32', Berkoe K. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Kirkman B. ⚽,
45+5', Morgan I. 🟨,
45+5', Ball J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ball J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Lloyd G. ⚽, Berkoe K. (A),
60', Batty J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
63', Morgan I. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
72', McGregor J. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
72', Oldaker D. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
72', Nichols T. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
79', Sang T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
79', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Freeman N. ⚽,
83', Berkoe K. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
88', Borland A. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.
Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Bodin B.
(Inactive)
Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Injury)
Ojinnaka T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J.
(Inactive)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Swindon: 0.84% Shrewsbury: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
18
Shrewsbury
10
3
2
5
9:15
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.33%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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Cox M. (G) 
Hoole L. 
Boyle W. (C) 
Kabia I. 
Scully A. 
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 
Mabete F. 
Scanlon J. 
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