Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: The Airfield (Broughton)

Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)


	Airbus UK Broughton		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.8	1.32
	7.3	5.15	1.3
	7	5.2	1.33
	7.42	5.13	1.36
	7.5	4.8	1.32
	7.2	5.1	1.32	Watch
	7	5.2	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.17 ↑ (5.38)	5.05 ↑ (4.15)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airbus UK Broughton
12.8%

Draw
18.1%

Bala Town
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

22%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

22%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airbus UK Broughton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Bala Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bala Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airbus UK Broughton than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bala Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Airbus UK Broughton - Bala Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Bala Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Airbus UK Broughton won 0.

Airbus UK Broughton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bala Town in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Airbus UK Broughton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bala Town have a series of guest games.

In this match Bala Town is absolute favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Airbus UK Broughton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Airbus UK Broughton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airbus UK Broughton
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.09.22	Aberystwyth Town - Airbus UK Broughton	2:1 ✺
23.09.22	Airbus UK Broughton - Newtown	4:4 ✺
17.09.22	Pontypridd United - Airbus UK Broughton	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Caernarfon Town - Airbus UK Broughton	3:1 ✺
30.08.22	Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Town United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.09.22	Newtown - Bala Town	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.09.22	Caernarfon Town - Bala Town	1:4 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
17.09.22	Flint Town United - Bala Town	1:1 ✺
02.09.22	Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
15.11.19	Bala Town - Airbus UK Broughton	1:0
16.08.19	Airbus UK Broughton - Bala Town	1:2
20.12.16	Airbus UK Broughton - Bala Town	2:4
16.10.16	Bala Town - Airbus UK Broughton	3:3
25.03.16	Bala Town - Airbus UK Broughton	3:1
13.02.16	Airbus UK Broughton - Bala Town	0:3
06.11.15	Airbus UK Broughton - Bala Town	2:0

Airbus UK Broughton - Bala Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide